As the NFL Week 13 approaches, analysts at Pro Football Focus (PFF) have identified their favorite betting opportunities for the upcoming Sunday games. Utilizing the PFF Player Prop Tool, these expert insights are based on real-time projections, matchup data, and current odds, which are trusted by all 32 NFL teams. Here’s a breakdown of the analysts’ top picks for this week’s matchups.
Key Betting Insights for Week 13
Trevor Sikkema leads with a bet on Drake Maye from the New England Patriots, recommending an over on 4.5 carries at odds of -155 with BetMGM. Maye has consistently exceeded this line, recording over 10 rushing yards in his last ten games. Furthermore, he faces a New York Giants defense that currently ranks last in PFF’s run-defense grade, making this a promising opportunity for Maye to increase his rushing attempts, especially considering potential late-game kneel-downs.
Dalton Wasserman also focuses on the Patriots, advocating for TreVeyon Henderson to hit over 14.5 carries at -130. Henderson has maintained a streak of at least 14 carries in his last four games. With the return of Rhamondre Stevenson still fresh from Week 12, Henderson managed to dominate the ground game with 18 attempts compared to Stevenson’s six. Given the Giants’ struggles against the run, he is positioned as the primary back for the Patriots.
Additional Picks from PFF Analysts
Ben Linsey offers a recommendation for Travis Etienne Jr. of the Jacksonville Jaguars, betting on over 57.5 rushing yards at odds of -115. The Jaguars have displayed a strong running game since their Week 8 bye, ranking among the league’s top teams in rushing attempts. Etienne’s performance in recent games, including 15 carries for 86 yards last week, sets him up well against a Tennessee Titans defense that ranks 26th in yards allowed per carry on designed runs.
Mason Cameron highlights Khalil Shakir of the Buffalo Bills, advocating for over 4.5 receptions at odds of -110. Shakir has been a consistent performer, achieving six or more catches in four of his last five games. With a favorable matchup against a Pittsburgh Steelers defense that has struggled against receivers, Shakir could further solidify his role as a key target for the Bills, especially with the uncertainty surrounding Dalton Kincaid’s status.
Max Chadwick suggests a bet on Shedeur Sanders from the Cleveland Browns, calling for over 14.5 completions at odds of -114 with FanDuel. As Sanders prepares for his second career start against the San Francisco 49ers, the game script may favor a higher passing volume, particularly given the Browns’ status as 5.5-point underdogs. Despite a limited attempt count in his previous game, the 49ers’ defense presents an opportunity for Sanders to find success.
Lastly, Gordon McGuinness opts for a conservative approach, advocating for betting under 1.5 passing touchdowns for Marcus Mariota of the Washington Commanders at odds of -250. Mariota has faced a formidable Denver Broncos defense, with only two quarterbacks reaching this mark throughout the season. While Mariota has performed adequately in his role, his track record suggests a lower likelihood of multiple touchdowns.
These insights reflect the extensive analysis provided by PFF, emphasizing the potential for informed betting strategies as NFL Week 13 unfolds. For those looking to enhance their betting experience, PFF offers a 40% discount on their subscription services using the promo code BLACKFRIDAY, allowing access to premium tools and resources.
